factors affecting population forecasts

FACTORS AFFECTING POPULATION FORECASTS

Population forecasting is a crucial aspect to be taken into consideration before implementing any public scheme like a water supply system as it involves huge capital and human resources. Small area population forecast are used for a wide variety of planning and budgeting purposes. Forecasts are done by several extrapolation techniques, averages and composite methods. Population forecast may be affected by the following factors:

• Birth rate
• Death rate
• Immigration (addition of people to the community)
• Emigration (people leaving the community)
• Agriculture
• Urbanisation
• Education
• Emancipation of women